Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
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- MakaleAçık Erişim2025CO2 Emissions Forecast Based on Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption in Türkiye
Eygu, Hakan; Coşkun, Hüseyin
This study aims to reveal the impact of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on CO2 emissions in Türkiye and the potential to reach the CO2 emission level targeted in the 2030 Paris Agreement. In the first stage, the cointegration relationship was analyzed with the AARDL model approach using annual data for 1965-2022. According to the results of the analysis, in the long run, non-renewable energy consumption increases CO2 emissions, while renewable energy consumption decreases CO2 emissions. In the second phase of the research, three scenarios were prepared for each of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption. For nine scenarios, including combinations of these scenarios, CO2 emissions that may occur until 2030 were estimated using the econometric simulation method. According to the estimation results, the low non-renewable energy consumption and high renewable energy consumption scenario was determined as the scenario that can reduce CO2 emissions the most until 2030. However, even in this case, it is understood that more investment in renewable energy will be required since the 2030 CO2 emission reduction target will not be achieved. Therefore, policymakers need to enact policies to increase incentives for renewable energy generation in both the public and private sectors and take steps to improve the necessary infrastructure.
AtıfOpenAlex4TR Dizin1
İncele - Kitap BölümüYalnız künye2025New Evidence on the Relationship between Sustainable Economic Growth, Entrepreneurship, and Innovation
Imamoğlu, Ilyas Kays; Coşkun, Hüseyin
One of the primary goals of economic policies in countries is to achieve sustainable economic growth. The notion that sustainable economic growth can solve fundamental economic issues has given significant importance to concepts related to economic growth. In the economic literature, the discussion on the primary sources of economic growth has gained renewed attention with the contributions of Joseph Alois Schumpeter (1883-1950), an Austrian economist, political scientist, and sociologist. Schumpeter emphasized the role of entrepreneurs in economic development and was the first to argue that entrepreneurs drive innovation. Schumpeter argued that entrepreneurs are the main drivers of economic growth as they introduce their innovations into the production process. Technological progress is achieved through innovation. Although Schumpeter was unable to model his views on entrepreneurship and innovation at the time, his theoretical implications for their interaction have inspired researchers. Entrepreneurs are essential actors that cannot be ignored, both as a first step in organizing basic economic activities and as a key solution to meet economic needs. However, the impact of entrepreneurship on economic growth depends on the generation and implementation of novel ideas. New thoughts and ideas can lead to the discovery of new needs, which in turn can lead to the production of innovative products necessary to meet those needs. As a result, an increase in production can lead to an increase in economic growth. Studies on this subject have concluded that the impact of entrepreneurship and innovation on economic growth depends on the optimal level of development in these areas. Based on this idea, in this study, the relationship between entrepreneurship, innovation, and economic growth has been investigated theoretically and empirically from a current perspective. As a result of the analysis, it was found that entrepreneurship positively affects economic growth, whereas innovation does not have a significant effect on economic growth.
- MakaleAçık Erişim2023The Future of Export-Based Growth Policies in the Turkish Economy: An Econometric Simulation Approach
Coşkun, Hüseyin; Imamoglu, Ilyas Kays
The failure of the import substitution industrialization policies implemented in the Turkish economy between 1960 and 1980 led to the adopting of export-oriented policies for economic growth. In 1980, radical transformations were experienced in economic policies. Since 1980, exports have been attributed important meanings for sustainable economic growth. Therefore, this study analyzes the long-run and short-run relationship between exports and economic growth in the Turkish economy by using the ARDL bounds test approach with annual data sets for the period 1987-2021 and forecasts Turkey's GDP per capita for the period 2022-2032 by econometric simulation method. The ARDL model estimation results show that exports have a statistically significant and positive effect on economic growth in the short and long run. According to the forecast analysis, it has been determined that the per capita GDP in 2032 will be $20990 in the base export scenario, $17327 in the low-export scenario, and nearly double to $25157 in the high-export scenario. These results show that it is possible for the GDP per capita to nearly double in the next ten years in the Turkish economy. Still, policy components are needed to increase exports by an average of 13.86% annually to reach these figures.
AtıfOpenAlex3TR Dizin3İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2023Scopus SJRQ1Prevalence and predictors of psychological assistance services for older individuals in Turkish society
Coşkun, Hüseyin; Yildiz, Ibrahim; Alkan, Ömer
Background/aim: Due to the high contribution of psychological problems to the decline in the comfortable lifestyle of the older individuals, determining the factors that affect individuals' receiving psychological services and searching for solutions based on these factors is one of the primary concerns of national and international decision-makers. This study aimed to identify the factors that affect older individuals' access to psychological assistance services in Turkey. Methods: In this study, the Turkish Health Research micro dataset, which was conducted by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT) in 2016 and 2019, was employed. In this dataset, the data of 7,252 older individuals were analyzed. Using binary logistic analysis, the factors that are effective for obtaining psychological assistance for the older individuals were identified. Results: According to the results of the analysis, factors such as gender, education, general health status, disease status, payment of health expenditures, and body mass index affected older individuals who received psychological assistance. Conclusion: In recent years, there has been a rise in the availability of psychological assistance services for the older individuals. By identifying factors that increase the likelihood of receiving psychological assistance services, this study is expected to contribute to the creation and regulation of psychological assistance services to prevent possible psychological problems that may occur in old age, minimize the problems experienced by individuals, and promote a more comfortable lifestyle.
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İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2022The effect of bank loans on economic growth in turkey
Coşkun, Hüseyin; Kuloğlu, Bahar Kandemir
This study it is aimed to test the relationship between private sector loans extended by banks\rand economic growth in Turkey. For this purpose, annual data for the period 1980-2019 were\rused. The Johansen cointegration test was used to test the existence of the long-term\rrelationship between private sector loans on growth, and the Toda Yamamoto causality test\rwas used to determine the existence and direction of the causality relationship. In the model\restablished in the study, real GDP represents economic growth, the share of loans extended\rby banks to the private sector in GDP as representing private sector loans, and the share of\rgross capital formation in GDP representing capital and the number of employed people (per\rmillion persons) representing labor force are included as control variables. According to the\rresults of the analysis made within the framework of this model, it has been determined that\rprivate sector loans and economic growth are cointegrated, and there is a two-way causality\rrelationship between them.
AtıfTR Dizin4İncele - MakaleYalnız künye2020Türkiye’de Beşeri Sermaye, İnovasyon ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisinin Ekonometrik Analizi (1995-2018)
Eygu, Hakan; Coşkun, Hüseyin
Bu çalışmada 1995-2018 dönemi yıllık verileri kullanılarakTürkiye ekonomisi için beşeri sermaye, inovasyon ve ekonomikbüyüme arasındaki ilişki zaman serileri analiz yöntemleriyleincelenmiştir. Değişkenlerin durağanlığının tespitinde Genişletilmiş Dickey-Fuller ve Phillips-Perron birim kök testleri, değiş-kenler arasındaki eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığı ve uzun dö-nem ilişkisinin tespitinde Johansen eşbütünleşme analizi kullanılmıştır. Nedensellik ilişkisinin tespitinde ise Granger nedensellik analizi kullanılmıştır. Kurulan modele uygulanan analizler sonucunda değişkenler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisininolduğu tespit edilmiştir. Beşeri sermaye ve yeniliğin ekonomikbüyüme üzerinde kısa dönemde etkisinin olmadığı ancak uzundönemde pozitif etkisinin olduğu, sermaye yatırımlarının ve iş-gücünün hem kısa hem de uzun dönemde ekonomik büyümeyietkilediği görülmüştür. Granger nedensellik analizi sonucundasermaye yatırımları ve ekonomik büyüme arasında çift yönlü,işgücünden ekonomik büyümeye, işgücünden sermaye yatırımlarına, beşeri sermayeden yeniliğe doğru tek yönlü nedensellikilişkileri tespit edilmiştir.
AtıfTR Dizin4İncele - MakaleAçık Erişim2020Ar–Ge Harcamaları ve İhracat İlişkisinin İncelenmesi: Türkiye Örneği
Eygu, Hakan; Coşkun, Hüseyin
Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye ekonomisinde Araştırma ve Geliştirme (Ar-Ge)harcamalarının ihracat üzerindeki etkisini incelemektir. Bu amaçla 1990-2018 dönemi yıllıkharcamaları, ihracat, reel efektif döviz kuru ve en çok ihracat yapılan 20 ülkenin ortalama kişi başı gayri safi yurtiçi hasılası verileri kullanılarak ARDL modeli kurulmuştur. ARDL sınır testi ile eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığı test edilmiş ve değişkenlerin uzun dönem ve kısa dönem dinamikleri incelenmiştir. Analiz sonuçlarında en çok ihracat yapılan 20 ülkenin ortalama kişi başı gayri safi yurt içi hasılasının kısa vadede ihracatı etkilemediği ancak uzun dönemde pozitif etkilediği, reel efektif döviz kurunun ihracatı kısa ve uzun dönemde pozitif etkilediği görülmüştür. Ar-Ge harcamalarının ihracat üzerinde kısa dönemde negatif etkisinin olduğu ancak uzun dönem dengesinden sapmaların dengeye gelmesiyle birlikte Ar-Ge harcamalarının ihracatı uzun dönemde pozitif yönde etkilediği tespit edilmiştir.
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