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• MakaleYalnız künye2024/r/bayburt/14304
  FROM BYTES TO JOBS: DECODING BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA'S EMPLOYMENT PUZZLE THROUGH FDI AND ICT

  Arí, Yilmaz Onur; Izgí, Fatma

  Bosnia and Herzegovina's transition from socialism to capitalism has led to fundamental changes in the country's economic structure, with unemployment, FDI, economic growth, and information technologies becoming critical factors in this process. Information and Communication Technology (ICT) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) can promote economic growth and generate employment, helping to tackle unemployment through various channels. Bosnia and Herzegovina has been facing long-term unemployment for years. Thus, this study uses an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach and structural break technique to explore the impact of FDI, ICT, and growth on unemployment in Bosnia and Herzegovina for the period 1997-2022. The research findings indicate that FDI has a negative impact on unemployment in the long run. On the other hand, ICT has a positive impact on unemployment in the long run. Moreover, empirical findings demonstrated that there is a negative and significant relationship between growth and unemployment in the long run. This implies the validity of Okun's Law for Bosnia and Herzegovina. Furthermore, the study brings forth a crucial insight that the impacts of FDI on unemployment are not uniform and differ significantly based on the type of FDI inflows.

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• MakaleAçık Erişim2024/r/bayburt/11079
  FROM MONEY TRANSFERS TO MEAL TABLES: UNRAVELLING THE NEXUS OF REMITTANCES, FOOD SECURITY, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY

  Ari, Yılmaz Onur; Zeneli, Fjona

  The link between remittances, food security, and economic growth is a complex and important element of the economic development of the society. The study aims to explore the causality relationships between Remittances, Food Security and Economic Growth in the Turkish economy. The period of study from 1974 to 2018 and annual data of Remittances, Calories intake (as a proxy for the food security) and Economic Growth are used in the framework of time series. Techniques such as Zivot-Andrews (ZA) unit root, Toda-Yamamoto (TY), Breitung-Candelon (BCG), and Hatemi-J tests are used to detect the causality assessing the direction of it. The main findings consist of: (i) the presence of cointegration of rank two among series, the lack of linear TY time domain causality; (ii) the presence of BCG spectral causality from Calories intake to Growth only in medium period at 10% significance and, (iii) the presence of asymmetric causality from Remittances to Growth in positive changes, from Growth to Calories intake in negative changes and from Calories intake to Remittances in positive changes respectively at 1,5, and 1% significance. These results provide policymakers with valuable insights into the complexity nature of the relationship among remittances, food security, and economic growth, guiding them in designing effective strategies for poverty alleviation, sustainable development, and inclusive growth.

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  AtıfOpenAlex1

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• MakaleAçık Erişim2023Scopus SJRQ3/r/bayburt/13095
  Socio-economic determinants of environmental degradation: Empirical evidence for the Environmental Kuznets Curve

  Gültekin, Ömer Faruk; Sayar, Ramazan; Ari, Yllmaz Onur

  The aim of the paper is to examine socio-economic determinants of environmental degradation. The empirical study employs quantile regression which enables separate predictions for different levels of the dependent variable to be made. This study investigated 62 countries from low, middle and some high income countries for 1995-2019. The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) is verified for the aforemented countries in analyzing the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions using quantile regression. The study also revealed that the schooling rate has a pollution-increasing effect. In addition to the reducing effects of trade openness, democracy, and economic freedom variables on environmental degradation, the opposite effect of life expectancy at birth is observed, increasing environmental degradation. In this context, this paper concluded that the EKC hypothesis is not supported. The government should encourage pollution-reducing policies in low and middle income countries.

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  AtıfScopus4·WoS3·OpenAlex5

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• MakaleYalnız künye2022/r/bayburt/14430
  THE NEXUS BETWEEN SOCIAL UNREST AND MIGRANT REMITTANCES: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM GEORGIA

  Ari, Yilmaz Onur; Koç, Umit

  The paper examines the social unrest and migrant remittances relationship for Georgia using monthly time series data covering January 2007- July 2019. The Granger Causality Test was employed in the application of the econometric technique. Frequency domain causality test was also used in order to empower the findings of the study. The empirical findings showed that there is a bidirectional causality between the reported social unrest index (RSUI) and the remittance inflow to Georgia. Besides, frequency domain causality test results indicated that RSUI was the Granger cause of remittance inflow in the medium term (7-10 months), while remittance inflow was the Granger cause of RSUI in the short term (2-6 months). Social unrest comprises protests based on basic economic needs such as food, gas, electricity etc. Therefore, social unrest can be a supportive factor of remittances inflow to Georgia. This is in line with the view that remittances sent by Georgian immigrants to their families in Georgia are used for consumption rather than investments. On the other hand, remittances can be a determinant of social unrest for Georgia because the existence of separatist movements in Abkhazia and former South Ossetia can be interpreted as remittances can be an important source to fund these movements.

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• MakaleYalnız künye2020Scopus SJRQ1/r/bayburt/13576
  Terrorism - workers’ remittances nexus: empirical evidence from Turkey

  Arİ, Yılmaz Onur; Bello, Ibrahim

  The paper examines the impacts of remittances on terrorism for Turkish economy by using annual time series data covering the period of 1990-2019. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) was used in the application of econometric method. To ensure robustness of results, the study accounts for structural breaks in the unit root test and the co-integration analysis. The results obtained indicated that remittances flows to Turkey have a positive and significant effect on terrorism. This is in line with the empirical evidence that finances through remittances can promote terrorism in a country. The study also concludes that unemployment has strong a correlation in promoting terrorism in Turkish economy and that persistent unemployment can cause economic inequality, poverty, social dislocation, unrest, and conflict such as terrorism, which has a negative impact on subsequent long-run economic growth. Besides, trade openness shows a negative but significant effect, which indicates that trade openness has a little influence in promoting terrorism.

  AtıfScopus2

  İncele
• Kitap BölümüYalnız künye2020/r/bayburt/12199
  Interactive effects of remittances and financial development on Turkey's economic growth

  Ari, Yilmaz Onur

  Labor migration from underdeveloped and developing countries to developed countries has gained great importance, especially with the acceleration of globalization since the 1980s. The remittances that migrants earn by working in the receiving countries and send to their families have become an important tool for fighting against poverty and supporting economic growth.Migrant remittances, which are more stable than other financial sources, became a primary source of foreign exchange for supporting economic growth of developing countries by financing the current account deficit, reducing poverty, increasing consumption expenditures, and increasing household savings and investments. Remittances, which are an important financial source for developing countries, affect the economic growth in the remittance-receiving country positively or negatively. There is no consensus in the literature about the effect of remittances on economic growth.Remittances take an important place for lowering poverty and supporting economic growth because Turkey is a developing country. In this study, I analyzed a historical background of remittance flows to Turkey. By looking back at the literature, I tried to correlate Turkish remittances to Turkish financial sector development.

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• MakaleYalnız künye2011/r/bayburt/15582
  Concentration in Turkish automotive sector: An application on passenger and light commercial vehicles

  Ari, Yılmaz Onur; Kaynak, Selahattin

  Concentration means that production and pricing are controlled by a few firms in a sector. Number and size of firms which operate in an industry are crucial factors for determining concentration level. The most popular ways to measure the market concentration level are N-Firm Concentration Rate, which is calculated a sum of market shares of the biggest firms in a market, and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index, which is usedfor determining the uncompetitive behaviors in an industry.In this study concentration level of Turkish automotive sector was analyzed through N-Firm Concentration Rates (CR4 and CRg) and Herfindahl-Hirschman Index.As a result of the analysis, high levels of concentration were seen in domestic passenger cars and domestic light commercial vehicles sectors in CR4, while domestic and imported light commercial sectors in CRg. -In Herfindahl-Hirschman analysis, it's seen that a monopolistic structure obtains in domestic passenger and light commercial vehicles, but low concentration rates in imported passenger and light commercial vehicles. As a result of this situation there is a more competitive structure in imported passenger and light commercial vehicles.

  AtıfTR Dizin18

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