2026-10-29T23:52:13Zhttps://bayburt-rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/oai/request

oai:bayburt-rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net:bayburt/144852026-10-29T20:01:40Zopenairedrivercom_bayburt_10000col_bayburt_10001com_bayburt_10010col_bayburt_10219

Global Financial Architecture Under Geopolitical, Financial and Policy Pressures: A Capacity-Pressure Index of Financial ResilienceKuzu, MehmetKocaoglu, Fatihglobal financial architecturefinancial resiliencegeopolitical riskpolicy uncertaintyfinancial stressstructural capacitycomposite indexSDG 10.5Financial resilience depends on both prevailing pressures and the resources available to maintain financial functions. This study proposes a Global Financial Resilience Index (GFRI) that combines selected structural indicators with the inverse of geopolitical, policy, and market pressures. The formal retrospective sample covers January 2000-June 2026; July-August extensions are reported separately. Fixed-reference standardisation and geometric aggregation produce a transparent capacity-pressure composite, not a measure of environmental, social or intergenerational sustainability. Fixed-basket comparisons retain some capacity improvement, but a balanced five-indicator panel covers only 20 economies and 12.4-16.0% of global GDP. Country selection and calibration alter the pandemic-era ranking. The OECD growth-cycle mean difference is -8.30 points with HAC(12) p = 0.055. Classification AUC is 0.658, with a 12-month block-bootstrap 95% interval of 0.468-0.821, and does not improve on matched stress benchmarks. The incremental explanatory power of industrial production is negligible. Weight simulations and publication-lag tests reveal uncertainty in material construction. The index offers a reproducible description of selected capacity and pressure conditions; the evidence does not support operational policy bands, superior crisis prediction or comprehensive sustainability claims.MDPI2026-10Articlehttps://rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/r/bayburt/14485https://doi.org/10.3390/su181910159enSUSTAINABILITYinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttps://bayburt-rdlopen.rawdatalibrary.net/tr/items/bayburt/14485